Stock Market Today

Today we will trade of a ranging trade. The prices are moving sideways but there is good depth between support and resistance. Take a look at the weekly trade

Weekly CHF/JPY Long

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Prices are bouncing off support and I have placed my stop 135 pips away just below the support.

Daily CHF/JPY Long

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Calculations For The CHF/JPY Long

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The daily stochastic has turned up and is heading out of the oversold area. This consolidation will eventually come to an end but the fact that the support has been hit a number of times signifies a strength in that support as highlighted in the last post Support and Resistance.

Trade opened February 3,2010 10.12 am GMT

Keep an eye on the Trading Portfolio Updates for the progress on this trade

Happy Trading

Richard Hurford

CFD Trader

Stock Market Today

Whether you are trading Stocks, Forex Pairings or Commodities it is important to understand Resistance and Support levels on price graphs.

This forms part of your Technical Analysis when looking for trades and are signified on graphs as price congestion areas.

What is a Support and Resistance Level?

A support level is the price at which buyers are strong enough to stop a downward price movement in its tracks. A support level can be recognized by drawing a horizontal line on the graph connecting several bottoms.

A resistance level is the price at which sellers are strong enough to stop an upward price movement in its tracks. A resistance level can be recognized by drawing a horizontal line on the graph connecting several tops.

Where exactly do you draw a horizontal line?

It is important to draw your line connecting the edges of the congestion prices and not the extreme points of prices. The congestion area represents where many Stock Market Traders have changed there minds whereas the extreme points just represent panic buying and selling by irrational traders.

How can these Resistance levels and Support levels affect future prices?

These points in the market are remembered by traders because of the pain or greed that the traders suffered the last time the prices reached these points and turned around. Bear traders feel intense pain in an uptrend who sold short. When the prices turn again to a downtrend they get a second chance to get out without losing and they remember the point at which they got in and the market turned up against them. This forces them to cover shorts or reverse their positions so as to redeem themselves. This action is also reinforced by bulls that missed out last time on an upward rally at this point and get in, determined not to miss out this time. This process creates buying pressure from large groups of traders and so the prices form a strong support.

Support and Resistance Levels Have Different Strengths

There are a number of factors that usually determine the strength of a resistance and support level

  • The longer the timeframe or the more hits that price level has received, the stronger it is eg a resistance on a weekly chart is stronger than the resistance on a daily chart. A support that’s had 10 landings as opposed to 3 landings is stronger

  • The taller the congestion zone, the stronger it is. This is measured by the distance between the support level and the resistance level

  • The stronger the volume of Stocks exchanged at the price level, the stronger it is. A high volume represents a lot of traders that have an interest at this price. A low volume symbolizes indifference to this price.

How Does This Affect The Way You Trade?

  • As prices approach support levels these can be opportunities to place long positions with a tight protective stop just below support level

  • As prices approach Resistance Levels these can be opportunities to place short positions with a tight protective stop just above resistance.

  • If you are already in a trade and the prices approach a Support or Resistance Level its time to tighten stop positions because the prices are likely to bounce off these levels

Keep an eye on the Trading Videos section where I will be showing some examples of Support and Resistance Levels

Happy Trading

Richard Hurford

CFD Trader

Stock Market Today

Today I have located a new trade. Thats a Long position on AUD/USD. The weekly chart shows a rising trend. Take a look at the Forex Graph underneath.

Weekly Chart AUD/USD Long

Moving over to the daily charts, the prices have settled on the lower upward channel line. The stochastic is also in an oversold position. I think this is a reasonable postion to enter. Volatility is quite high and I have set a stop loss at 166 pips from a daily movement back on the 20th January.

Daily Chart AUD/USD Long

Just entering the trade January 29, 3.01am GMT

Calculations for the Trade

Check out the progress of this one on Trading Portfolio Updates

Happy Trading

Richard Hurford

CFD Trader

What Are CFDS?

CFDS stand for contracts for difference. When you take up a CFD transaction you have a contract to exchange the difference in value of a financial instrument, for example a Stock in a company, which occurs between the opening and closing position. When you enter into a CFD you don’t take delivery of the Stock and are not entitled to dividends.

When you open a CFD, the provider will take a commission. Depending on which provider this is will determine how much this costs and how the charge is taken. Typical charges for US Stocks maybe 2 cents per share per side(opening and closing) with minimum charges at $13 for an online order and $22 for a telephone order.

Some CFD providers now offer dealing in CFDS in a huge variety of financial instruments from all over the world. These include US Stocks, European Stocks, Asian Stocks, Indicies,Forex, Commodities, Options.

The best ones offer state of the art trading platforms that provide live data feeds for many financial instruments. Here you can manage all your trading with instant deal tickets, charting functions to perform your technical analysis and news feeds for fundamental analysis.

Why Trade CFDS?

You might ask yourself, why trade CFDS?

  • Only small deposits are required for large positions in the market. For example if you opened a Stock CFD with $5000 you would be have the equivalent interest in $100,000 of that stock.
  • You can go Long or Short on financial instruments. Therefore it is possible to profit from both falling and rising markets.
  • Typically many private investors purchase Stocks in the view that they are rising in value. The problem is with this strategy is that in bear markets it becomes tricky to pick a winner. Why not learn to short markets? That way you can always take advantage of opportunities which ever way the market is trending.
  • CFD accounts offer lightning liquidity. Positions can be opened and closed at the touch of a button and the money is returned to your account in seconds. This enables you to act fast when you spot an opportunity and need to be cashed up.
  • Freedom to take control of your trading instead of waiting for the thumbs up from brokers
  • Quickly and easily hedge against real stock positions in a down turn by opening a short position against that Stock.

Compare a Typical Stock Purchase To a CFD Trade

Consider buying Stock A

1/ We buy $100,000 worth and the share price moves upwards by 2%. Therefore we make $2,000

2/ We buy a CFD of Stock A with a deposit of $5,000. The price rises by 2%. We still make the same amount $2,000.

The normal Stock position has made 2% cash on cash return

The CFD trade position has made 40% cash on cash return.

So without having access to $100,000 dollars to buy the shares it is possible to make the same amount of money.

Conversely if the stock falls 2% then in the case of the Stock position your value of shares will be $98,000

In the CFD the contract it would now be worth $3,000

Check out the Trading Video section. There is going to be lots of footage for you to learn about trading

Happy Trading

Richard Hurford

Cfd Trader

Hi Guys. Just getting into the swing of things in this Trading Portfolio. Really enjoying writing up this material and I hope you are enjoying it too and have started to watch some of the videos which I am making.

Its been a few days since we have done a trade but I have one today. I have located a potential Short Trade on GBP/CAD. Take a look at the weekly chart below and you can see that the overall trend is down for this Forex Pairing

GBP/CAD Weekly Chart

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Having established the direction of the trade I have located a suitable position to enter by zooming in on the Daily Chart. Take a look below

GBP/CAD Daily Chart

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As you can see I have drawn a few channel lines on the daily chart. The prices are currently in a recent downtrend and are within the  channels. The prices have just hit the upper channel line and the Stochastic Indicator is in a overbought position. I am going to take an opportunity and enter a short position in this trade.

Check out the calculations below

Trade made January 20, 2010 3.28am GMT. Keep up to date in the Trading Portfolio Updates. Keep an eye on the video section for more learning experiences.

Happy Trading

Richard Hurford

CFD Trader